Extreme weather
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Aug 2026
Beyond 1.5°C: What the science says about overshoot and what comes next
Temporary exceedance of the 1.5°C warming threshold is now inevitable, with locked-in warming reaching at least 1.7°C. Research emphasises that the extent, duration and impacts of this overshoot depend strictly on immediate climate action.
Climate change is driving rising heat stress in Japan
Extreme heat, compounded by the start of a Super El Niño in 2026, has become one of Japan’s greatest climate risks, impacting public health, the economy and cultural landmarks.
Jul 2026
Faster-than-average warming is costing Italy thousands of lives and billions of euros a year
Italy is particularly vulnerable to extreme heat caused by climate change. Stepping up adaptation and reducing carbon emissions are necessary to reduce future risk.
Almost USD 1 billion in Europe-bound Brazilian soy exposed to river port disruption annually by mid-century
Amazon deforestation disrupts the river trade that soy supply chains depend on, offering a quantifiable financial case for forest protection measures.
Apr 2026
Are we heading towards a Super El Niño in 2026?
Many countries are already experiencing the impacts of climate change, including droughts, floods and heatwaves, and El Niño is likely to make them worse.
Apr 2026
Climate extremes in the UK are driving up lamb prices for consumers
After periods of extreme weather, farmgate prices for lamb surged by 11% to 25%. This briefing marks the debut of our year-long series, which investigates how extreme weather events are challenging the resilience of global food systems.